Bitcoin “Likely” To Break Higher
Over recent weeks, the cryptocurrency market has seemingly began to embark on a slow and steady recovery. While the asset class took a slight tumble on Thursday, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling by 1.33%, cryptocurrencies are still nearing their year-to-date highs. The simple fact has led some crypto analysts to begin touting bullish sentiment, as the technical and fundamentals tides have seemingly begun to turn in BTC’s favor.
Prominent trader Filb Filb joined in with his own optimism recently, issuing a number of charts accentuating his/her belief that digital assets, especially Bitcoin, are poised for a rally.
Filb explained that from a 12-month perspective, when Bitfinex’s BTC long-short (L/S) ratio rose above 1.5, returned to one or below, and then moved back above 1.25, Bitcoin moved by higher by approximately 25% to 50%. On the other hand, when the L/S ratio failed to break 1.25 after a move under one, BTC entered “very bearish territory,” resulting in fresh lows for crypto.
Currently, however, the L/S ratio has reached 1.5, fallen to one, and could potentially rebound to or past 1.25. And with that, Filb remarked that Bitcoin is “likely to break higher based on this metric alone,” drawing a hypothetical trading range of a 25% rally, which would bring BTC up to $5,000 for the first time in mid-November.
This isn’t the analyst’s first time mentioning $5,000, believe it or not. As reported by Ethereum World News previously, Filb remarked that a number of technical measures have started to turn in Bitcoin’s favor. Filb specifically drew attention to the 12-hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence, which has begun to trend positive above zero. The analyst also touched on Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which measures buying and selling pressure, which has begun to signal that there is underlying buying pressure in BTC markets.
He adds that over recent days, Bitcoin has begun to test a “macro 14-month resistance” downtrend, and could break into higher lows if it surpasses that level, which would then turn into support. A move above this level, which would push BTC into a “huge void” of volume, meaning that rallies and drawdowns could be accentuated with little-to-zero volume, could indicate that Bitcoin could hit $5,000 by May.
In a recent interview with BlockTV, Filb also expressed hope in regards to the crypto market’s short-term prospects. He explained that why he expects for BTC to “certainly rally” in the near future is due to the Bitcoin block reward reduction, adding that the emission reduction will make miners less incentivized to sell, therefore granting this market with a reason to move higher.
Moreover, he drew attention to the Lightning Network, especially in regards to the recent exposure that Jack Dorsey has given the scaling solution. Filb notes that this is a strong fundamental factor that could push Bitcoin higher.
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